Friday, February 2, 2018

cold then light snow

After a brutal stretch of cold in late December and early January, the average temperature for the month of January actually finished close to its normal level thanks to five days that broke into the 50s.

 

But the rollercoaster rolls on and we’re in the middle of a 10-14 day stretch of cold – nothing too barbaric (highs mostly in the 20s; no widespread lows <0) but well below average. This stretch is also going to feature several bouts of snow. There are no major storms on the horizon just yet but it wouldn’t take much, given the overall pattern, for a significant snow to spin up at some point over the next week.

 

Starting tonight we could see a dusting to maybe an inch. Snow will continue in bursts tomorrow and Sunday, with another 1-3 inches in some spots. Another 1-3 inches is possible on Monday night and Tuesday. That pattern of light, periodic snowfall could add up to 4-8” over the next week. Again, it’s early February and this is not a big deal, but given how little snow we’ve had it will stand out. Occasional but generally minor traffic and airport delays are also possible.

 

Speaking of snow, we’re still in a fairly remarkable snow drought. We have not had substantial snows since early December 2016. January + February 2017 was a record-setting period that was nearly snowless, and the current season has recorded less than 10” officially at ORD. Even if we get a half foot over the next week we’ll still be running well below average for the season.

 

On the flipside, happy anniversary! Today marks seven years since the (in)famous Groundhog Day Blizzard of 2011. Officially we recorded 40 consecutive hours of snowfall, 21.2” of snow, a gust of 70 mph, and some awesome thundersnow that I’ll never forget. (We were also lucky that the ill-advised people driving home on LSD who got stuck and had to abandon their cars were able to be rescued by firefighters on snowmobiles.)

 

Beyond the next ~10 day cold spell the rollercoaster is likely to head back up. There is good reason to believe we’ll get an extended taste of “early spring” starting in mid-February and possibly lasting through the end of the month.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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