Memorial Day weekend

Lots of questions about the cool and wet pattern we’ve had in May and the outlook for the upcoming holiday weekend. The details will vary a little bit but the overall pattern is pretty clear, and it’s mostly good. If there is a specific time/issue send me an email directly.

 

• Starting tomorrow (Thursday) we’re going to move out of the cool, wet weather that has dominated the month. Each day through Sunday should add a few degrees and there will be much more sun.
• The Thursday-Saturday period should be almost entirely dry. Don’t let some stupid weather graphic/emoji fool you – there might be a brief passing shower/storm over a small area, but there will be no large, organized storms that would create a washout for a whole day.
  • Saturday night and Sunday the chances of a thunderstorm increase, but again these will not be long-duration storms. At this point I don’t see any reason to alter outdoor plans. Any storms will be sporadic and nearly impossible to pinpoint, and they won’t last long either way.
• High temps will be in the 60s and 70s – Saturday in particular looks like a good bet to reach the high 70s (maybe 80 in a few spots). Skies won’t be entirely sunny, though, and the extent of our cloud cover will determine how much warming we get. Note that within a few miles of the lake a weak lake breeze will probably knock 5-15 degrees of these temps.
• The overall pattern through early June looks seasonable – nothing notably cool and no spells of heat yet either. And yes, May (and all of the spring season here) has been extraordinarily cloudy and wet. We’ve posted a sunshine deficit against the average for three straight months, and rainfall is running at 150-200% of normal. Today is also the sixth-straight day with measurable rain.
• Summary by day (see above re: lake breeze):
  • Friday – mix of clouds; no rain other than a very slight chance of a shower near/after sunset; afternoon temps in the low/mid 70s
  • Saturday – more sun but still some clouds in the area; temps in the 70s to near 80 in the afternoon; 30-50% chance of a thunderstorm near/after sunset
  • Sunday – 20-40% chance of a passing shower/thunderstorm most of the day, with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s
  • Monday (getting a bit far out…) – more of the same: passing clouds; slight chance of a shower; highs in the upper 60s to low 70s

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