Wednesday, July 6, 2016

Fwd: Winter Storm Warning / Winter Weather Advisory


---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Philip C. Ordway <pordway@anabaticllc.com>
Date: Tue, Feb 23, 2016 at 9:40 PM
Subject: Re: Winter Storm Warning / Winter Weather Advisory
To: "Philip C. Ordway" <pcordway@gmail.com>
Cc: "go@blogger.com" <go@blogger.com>, Chicago severe weather <chicagosevereweather@googlegroups.com>


I should have waited for the update from the model guidance and NWS, because things continue to come together. A further turn to the NW from a couple of credible models puts 8-10" down at MDW and 4-8" through a large part of the city. Again, there is a very tight gradient here so it wouldn't take much for this to swing either way. Still not much for northern and far western burbs but things could really come together over a good part of the area. And with wind gusts of 40-50 mph the impact will be significant. No change to timing, with worst conditions in the afternoon and early evening.




> On Feb 23, 2016, at 8:52 PM, Philip C. Ordway <pcordway@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> NWS has upgraded Cook County to a Winter Storm Warning. That is a little misleading though -- the storm is about as strong as advertised and has wobbled a touch to the NW toward us, but only far southern (and especially far southeastern) portions of Cook deserve the warning. Most of the city and especially far NW Cook (some 50 miles away) will see far more modest impacts. The worst of it will be along the lake shore near the Indiana border, where 4-8" totals and near blizzard conditions are possible. Totals will diminish rapidly to the NW. 2-4" for most of the city and maybe 1-2" for western and northern suburbs. Both airports could see a few inches and high winds will be an issue so flight delays and cancellations are likely. The snow will start tomorrow morning but warm temps and the warm ground should help the morning road conditions. Tomorrow afternoon and evening could be more problematic for traffic.
>
> On the upside the snow won't stick around long. Temps on Saturday will be near or above 50 with lots of sun.
>
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