Saturday, December 10, 2016

Re: Winter Storm Warning

Last update as the storm arrives and snow is overspreading the region. It arrived a little ahead of schedule and roads are already covered in the western and some northern burbs. The models continue to take totals up and this storm looks more impressive by the hour. Snowfall will be more or less continuous for the next 24 hours with only a short break or two. I would take the over on 6" at both airports and it would not be a surprise to see a few spots hit 12". 

On Dec 10, 2016, at 11:51 AM, Philip C. Ordway <pordway@anabaticllc.com> wrote:

A little odd -- NWS took down the Watch overnight in favor of just a Winter Weather Advisory. But now we're back to a full Warning, and the snow totals haven't changed much. Best guess for totals through tomorrow night is 8-12" northern suburbs, 6-10" western burbs, and 3-6" southern burbs and Loop. There could be a brief break in the snowfall tomorrow which would drop totals by an inch or two.

Snow will start very late afternoon into early evening. It should be light until after midnight. The heaviest snowfall rates are likely tomorrow morning. After a potential break there could be more heavy snow tomorrow afternoon. Road conditions could be dicey at various points and airport delays will be substantial.

And if we get more than 6" officially at ORD that would be only the fourth time since official records began in 1884 that we've had two snowfalls of at least 6" in the first two weeks of December. The most recent occurrence was in 2000.

The arctic outbreak also looks on track for next week. After a relatively tranquil Monday and Tuesday temps will plunge on Wednesday and Thursday. Daytime highs will struggle into the teens and overnight lows will likely be subzero in many locations.
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